H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Gulfport Mississippi ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has enhanced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a hurricane on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less specific. Tammy was at first anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer guidance is now recommending that the storm may drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and incredibly effective hurricane that triggered massive damage and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding triggered by engineering flaws in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, in addition to large locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have now been released for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That implies hurricane conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy must spread out across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Air Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a typhoon that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the typhoon center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has activated cyclone warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to hurricane professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists previously warned cyclones could form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most serious threats and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy